A Modest Member of Parliament [Bert Kelly],
The Australian Financial Review, February 18, 1977, p. 3.
Fred always gets angry when he hears politicians talking about the Government’s determination to create employment. According to him, no government can create employment — all it can do is to bring about an economic climate which encourages people to employ other people.
“You do not get good employment figures out of a sick economy,” he growls, “and your job is to stop the economy from getting sick, not to trot around talking nonsense.”
It’s true that the Government, if it wants to create employment, can put more people on its payroll.
But if it does this it must either pay them by taking more money from taxpayers, and this limits the ability of taxpayers to employ people, or it can pay the employees with printed money, but this encourages more inflation, which discourages employment.
So the Government is unlikely to create employment by employing people itself.
Another way that people may think that the Government can create employment is to put a tariff on a particular product.
Muddled-minded men have visions of a new factory opened overnight to produce the new product with hundreds of workers crowding eagerly through the factory gates each morning.
But of course it doesn’t work that way and to illustrate this let’s have a look at a particular case.
There is a request before the Industries Assistance Commission (IAC) for increased assistance for the production of commercial motor vehicles in Australia. (We call them “trucks” in the bush.)
The truck and component manufacturers have asked the Government to impose a high tariff on trucks and truck components and, I presume, the justification for doing this is to create employment.
But the immediate effect of this action would be to increase the price of trucks, so the cost of carting would go up, so inflation would go up, and employment would go down.
Sometimes Fred regards Eccles’ arguments about tariffs as somewhat academic, but when I mentioned the possibility that trucks may be made dearer by Government action in order to create employment he fairly hit the roof. He shouted at me:
What’s the good of the Government claiming that inflation is our number one enemy if they go round putting up the price of trucks so the freight goes up so everything gets dearer?
Why don’t you do something about it? You must know that freight is one of our biggest cost items yet when the Government is about to increase the cost of freight by increasing the cost of trucks you don’t do anything except scratch yourself.
I tried to calm Fred down by telling him that the IAC had only been asked to advise the Government on the matter and the Government certainly hadn’t decided to accede to the industry’s request, nor would it until it had received the IAC report.
Eccles said sourly out of the corner of his mouth that he thought that even this Government, which he regards as very highly protectionist, wouldn’t be silly enough to impose such an impost on the economy.
Eccles then said that surely the disastrous mess that governments of all colours had made of the passenger car industry would be sufficient warning to prevent it doing the same silly thing to trucks. I wish I could be sure of this!
The truth is that there is no such thing as a free feed, as I think I may have said before.
If the Government sets out to create employment by subsidising one section of the economy this can only be done at the expense of either the taxpayers, which limits their employing ability, or at the expense of consumers, which limits theirs.
And if the Government deliberately sets out to sustain particular industries in their present form just because they employ a lot of labour, the results will be devastating in the end.
The economy is like a bucket of worms — it is moving all the time, and if it stops moving it dies, and the result is an awful mess.
If we try to stop the economy moving and adjusting to the increased cost of labour, then the results will be awful also.
You might just as well say that we should go back to farming with horses in order to create employment as to sustain a particular industry because it employs a lot of people.
Governments do not create employment. All they can do is to encourage entrepreneurs to be enterprising and governments do this best by keeping the economy running smoothly.
This is no easy task.
Governments should concentrate on doing this, instead of kidding themselves that they can do something they can’t.
Sir Roderick Carnegie’s foreword to Bert Kelly’s Economics Made Easy « Economics.org.au
August 6, 2015 @ 4:12 pm
[…] An economy is like a bucket of worms, It is changing and turning all the time, And if it isn’t changing it dies, And the smell is awful. […]