Bert Kelly, “Less is the best government,”
The Bulletin, March 29, 1983, pp. 122.

I was impressed with the way that Bob Hawke took over from Malcolm Fraser. It will be wonderful if he and his government can heal some of the bitter divisions that haunt us. I was particularly glad to hear him say that he would try to make parliament operate again as a place for rational discussion ahead of the gladiatorial circus that it has become lately.

Certainly Fraser was a very bad influence. He was always so sensible on “talk-back” programs and on similar occasions but when the bells rang to summon parliament he used to behave like a war horse who hears the trumpets sound.

And certainly parliament seemed to emphasise his great weakness, his difficulty in differentiating between cunning and wisdom.

So the best of luck to Hawke in his task of making parliament work better. This will go a fair way to heal some of the nation’s divisions. But the really big division between capital and labour will be harder to heal and it is desperately important that it be healed as soon as possible. The main reason why our economy is so sick is because the share of the economic cake going to profits is too small and the share going to wages too big.

Wages took about 63 percent of the cake in the early 70s (before the Whitlam years), the profit share was then about 17 percent and unemployment about zero.

Then the Whitlam wage and fringe benefit explosion hit us and the wage share rose to about 66 percent while the profit share fell to well under 14 percent and unemployment started to go through the roof.

You can argue for weeks about how the cake should be cut up. Some say that, from the point of view of morality, labour’s share should be bigger than it is and they may well be right. But capital is fluid stuff and if it cannot find a good home here, then it will go somewhere else which is more profitable and all the lectures in the world will not keep it here.

So if the economy is to be made healthy again, the first requirement if inflation and unemployment are to be beaten, then the share of the cake going to wages has to fall. What a fearful prospect for a Labor prime minister to face!

Governments of all colours always claim credit when things are going well and have to take the blame when things go badly but it is usually economic laws that are responsible for what is happening.

And economic laws usually operate far better than governments because governments usually would rather be popular than right.

During one of our rural depressions, I sneeringly castigated a Minister for Primary Industry for some foolish panic measures he was propounding. “That’s all very well adopting that lofty know-all attitude,” he snapped, “but what would you do if you were me?” “I would go overseas and stay there for at least a year,” I replied, “and when I came back economic laws would have fixed things better than me.”

The minister did not take my advice which is a pity. But certainly government intervention in the problem of sharing the economic cake has made things worse and it would have been better to let economic laws work unhindered.

It was governments that gave the union movement the muscle they are now abusing by giving them registration privileges, immunity from tort action and many other rights that ordinary citizens do not have. Capital has had to contend with labour with one arm tied behind its back by the government, with the unions’ position protected by a government arbitration system which forces capital to obey the law but which does not even pretend to make the unions do so.

Eccles says that the wages pause is just a formalising of economic laws at work. Profits are down so business is sick, the demand for labour falls, the unions know that they cannot expect to twist the arm of management to get silly wage increases and management is able to screw up its courage to stand firm. So we have a wages pause until the profit share increases, whatever the government does.

To sum up, the government is rightly committed to getting the economy going again and, for this to happen, the share of the economic cake going to labour has to shrink. This is a truly fearful problem for a newly elected Labor Government with its strong links to the union movement.

The best thing that the new government could do would be to go on a long holiday and leave the task to economic laws. They would do it far faster than governments and they will win anyway, in the end.