A Modest Member of Parliament [Bert Kelly], “The rewards for taking in the washing,” The Australian Financial Review, July 25, 1975, p. 3.

About a year ago the Government published the Green Paper on rural policy, written by four wise men, Harris, Crawford, Gruen and Honan.

The rural sector awaited its publication with trepidation and received it with relief.

My attention has been drawn to it again by an article on the Green Paper by Professor Keith Campbell in the December issue of the Australian Journal of Agriculture and Economics.

Eccles regards Professor Campbell with trepidation, so Professor Campbell having written, Eccles made me read.

I will only deal with the section of the Green Paper concerned with tariff compensation. It spells out the burden tariffs have imposed on the export industries.

I quote from paragraph 3.61 of the report:

… the prices of virtually all the inputs, including labour, used by export producers reflect the costs of the tariff; the rural exporter — and to a considerable degree the mineral and manufacturing exporter — is generally unable to pass them on any further.

But the report admits that changing our present tariff policy is not going to be easy, though desirable, and the last few months have hammered this home.

Most thinking people realise that high tariffs do not create employment — they might indeed encourage it is the protected industries, but they discourage it in user and exporting industries.

The employment gained in the protected industries is immediately and easily visible but the employment lost in the user and export industries, is much more diffuse and so harder to see.

So the authors of the Green Paper, being aware of the inability or unwillingness of politicians to withstand the particular pressures mounted by industries and unions that are particularly affected, advocated the adoption of tariff compensation.

They admit quite openly that this is a second best solution and I quote from paragraph 3.63 and 3.64 of the report:

The preferred course, replacing the tariff with an exchange rate devaluation and leaving the tariff to be used for special situations, such as infant industries, would therefore provide difficulties for those industries. [the highly protected ones.]

Given the practical difficulties, such a course is likely to be followed, at best, only slowly.

There is then a case on economic grounds for a second best course of action, for providing some compensating protection, i.e. assistance to the export sector.

So because it is politically difficult to reduce tariffs because of all the nonsense talked about unemployment, the report recommends the second best policy of compensating export industries for the tariff burden they bear.

I know Eccles was sorry to see tariff compensation given so much respectability.

For one thing, tariffs were originally imposed to redistribute income from the rural to the non-rural sector.

To redistribute it back again to the rural sector by tariff compensation does indeed look a bit queer.

We should question a process that goes round and round in this fashion, with the Government having more and more say in what the degree of protection and compensation each sector receives.

I distrust Government interference in this things; it is either too little or too much or too late, and even if it is just right, both secondary industry and farmers would still complain and ask for and get more.

But there are other problems in tariff compensation. Is it to apply to all exporting industry all the time?

In theory, it should because the burden is there all the time. So sugar would be getting it now and wool in 1973! That would be a bit hard to sell politically. Or is compensation only to go to industries that are suffering, like beef now?

This might sound attractive on equity grounds, but the inevitable result would be to encourage production when demand is falling.

Then how much tariff compensation should be given and who is to measure it? The Green Paper would leave this task to the Industries Assistance Commission. But the task wouldn’t be easy and certainly the answers would be wrong, at least to some degree.

But Eccles’s main complaint is that if tariff compensation is accepted, there would be almost no industry groups interested enough to fight the battle to lower tariffs.

So we would tend towards a system of having higher and higher tariffs and higher and higher compensation.

We would end up with an economy based on taking in one another’s washing, with the Government directing where the washing should go, and fixing the rewards for it. It’s not a pleasant prospect.