Bert Kelly, The Australian Financial Review, March 3, 1978, p. 3. Reprinted in Economics Made Easy (Adelaide: Brolga Books, 1982), pp. 53-55, as “Tariffs and Employment (2).”
Last week we discussed ways to make a member of Parliament face up to the tariff question.
I pointed out that it was absolutely necessary to get a good tight grip and to hang on like blazes as soon as his footwork starts to dazzle the audience.
That is the time to say loudly, even rudely, that you demand answers to your questions and not a smart display of the side-ways shuffle.
And you must have others in your group ready to chip in with an irreverent interjection or two.
Your friends will be a bit nervous about behaving like this, as they are probably like you used to be, namely, quiet, retiring gentlemen.
But you know, and I hope that they also know, that the tariff burden will be the end of half of us unless we can get at least some of it lifted from our backs. So the time for being nice to members of Parliament has gone.
One of the ways your member may try to escape your grip on his ear is to claim that tariffs are necessary because they create employment.
If he tries to escape through that bolt-hole you should complain to the chairman that the member is talking nonsense and that you can prove this either now or later.
What happens then will be up to you and your supporters, but you must be ready with some facts and figures in case you get a chance to use them.
You should have handy the accompanying table which shows quite conclusively that the percentage of our workforce employed in secondary industry has been falling steadily since 1921, as has the employment of primary industry.
This is the same picture that appears in all developed countries.
I suggest that you cut this table out of the paper and put it in your wallet:
PERCENTAGE OF WORKFORCE EMPLOYED IN SECTORS IN AUSTRALIA
Census year | Primary | Manufacturing | Tertiary
1911 ………….. 29.9 ………….. 28.7 ……………. 40.4
1921 ………….. 25.8 ………….. 31.2 ……………. 42.0
1933 ………….. 22.2 ………….. 23.2 ……………. 42.2
1947 ………….. 17.3 ………….. 26.0 ……………. 49.5
1954 ………….. 15.0 ………….. 27.8 ……………. 55.1
1961 ………….. 12.1 ………….. 27.0 ……………. 55.4
1966 ………….. 10.6 ………….. 27.0 ……………. 62.4
1971 ……………. 8.8 ………….. 23.2 ……………. 67.1
1975 ……………. 6.7 ………….. 21.4 ……………. 69.8
It makes nonsense of the claim that it is only secondary industry that can employ our people. And, indeed, about half of secondary industry does not depend on tariffs and the employment opportunities in this group are hindered and not helped by the tariff.
For instance, Eccles has always claimed that BHP would be much more competitive with overseas steel makers if the cost structure was not adversely affected by the tariff.
So you can properly claim that the employment opportunities in the economy in general, and in secondary industry in particular, are hurt rather than helped by the tariff.
But you can also truthfully argue that the lavish protection given to some industries has not helped employment in those industries.
For instance, the car industry is being protected both by tariffs and quotas so that it is hung like a great albatross around the neck of the economy, yet employment in the industry continues to fall.
New car registrations in 1977 were 561,468 compared with 603,000 in 1976. This was the fourth successive fall in a row. And the reason is that cars have simply got too dear to buy.
I used to be a member of the Automotive Industry Council and we used to meet in Canberra every few months.
And each meeting began, not with hymn and prayer as at a devotional meeting, but by wailing at the wall by almost everyone who wanted even more generous treatment from the government.
So the trade barriers went up and up, as did the price of cars. So the demand fell steadily as did employment.
I suppose the next thing the council will want from the Government is a law compelling people to buy cars, whether they want them or not.
And I am told that the same thing is happening in the textile and clothing field. Clothes have now got so dear because of the lavish protection afforded the industry that people are naturally making their clothes last longer, or are travelling to Singapore to buy clothes.
And certainly many more people than ever are making their own clothes. So the next thing the industry lobby will want is for the Government to pass a law to make people buy more clothes.
So if your member takes refuge in the spurious argument that tariffs are necessary to create employment, you clobber him with a few facts. When he talks that kind of nonsense, screw his ear like blazes.
Tariffs Create Unemployment « Economics.org.au
March 1, 2012 @ 9:04 am
[…] Tariffs Create Unemployment Other entries featuring Bert Kelly» Bert Kelly, September 24, 1976. Economics Made Easy (Adelaide: Brolga Books, 1982), pp. 51-53, as “Tariffs and Employment (1)”. “Tariffs and Employment (2)” is this one. […]