Bert KellyThe Bulletin, December 25, 1984 / January 1, 1985, p. 89.

Eccles is a sad sod and he likes being like that. When I told him about the public opinion poll which showed that most Australians wanted our wage fixing machinery left unaltered — thus leaving Bruce, our industrial relations dinosaur, eating his head off while the exporters in the Rough Cruel World had to feed him — I expected Eccles to burst into tears. But he just smiled benignly and said: “Don’t worry, Bert; economic laws will win in the end as they always do. We might have to wait a long while and suffer needlessly, but nothing is more certain than that our present centralised wage system will have to be altered radically. I have been proved right about tariffs and I will be proved right about poor old Bruce. Being right is what makes me so unpopular.”

Then Eccles gave me one of his long lectures. He says that if wage costs continue to rise as they do now with the cost of living, instead of with productivity as they should, then the share of the economic cake going to management will fall as the share going to wages rises. Then less money will be invested, so the economy will slow down; unemployment will rise and this will force down the real value of wages until they are in line again with productivity.

I suppose this sounds logical, but it hardly seems fair that owners of capital should have the right to say whether they should invest it or not. Indeed, I toyed with the idea of asking the government to pass laws to make them invest their money where the government thought best, but Eccles warned me that capital is funny fluid stuff and if it does not find a happy home here it will just quietly melt away and go to other places where returns are greater. You may say that this is unfair, that capital should do what it is told. You may be right, too, but capital will continue to go where its return is safest and greatest.

Eccles then put the lid on his argument by saying that it was once usual to compensate secondary industry for uneconomic wage rises by giving them tariff increases. Indeed, I have a letter before me written written on November 7 to a company that makes heavy earth-moving machinery, which asks them to join in a campaign to persuade the government to come to the rescue of the industry. The letter is from the chairman of the Machinery and Metal Engineering Council — none other than John Halfpenny who last year was a powerful official in the metal workers union which bullied the metal employers into giving in to wage demands that made it inevitable that the industry would need help. He says: “The Council has sought emergency assistance from the government to maintain a viable engineering industry in Australia.” This is pretty rich, coming from one who had more than anyone else to do with making it unviable.

Giving tariff increases to compensate for wage rises once was the usual way to behave, but everyone knows that exporters can no longer carry increased tariff burdens. The Bureau of Agricultural Economics tells us that farmers’ incomes will be down by 29 percent this financial year, the miners are slipping further behind all the time and most secondary industry exporters are in trouble. They say that nothing clarifies a man’s mind like the knowledge that he is to be hung in the morning. Will, the exporters are in that position and the government knows this at last — so tariffs can no longer be used to compensate for wage rises.

Eccles then said something that I found strange, coming from such cold fish. He says that the good young leaders in the unions — particularly those in the Australian Council of Trade Unions — because they are well educated and sensible must know that a gradual movement toward a more flexible wages system that is responsive to economic forces is inevitable in the end, so we ought to help them explain this to the community in general and to their unions in particular.

Because I was once a member of parliament, I can understand that argument. When I addressed apathetic Liberal Party audiences, I lost marks if I was not giving the unions a bit of stick; people feared that I might be getting soft on the unions. The young Labor leaders (who are often under suspicion, anyway, because many of them have not been through the painful union mangle from the shop floor up) must feel threatened that they may lose their influence — even their positions — if thought to be going soft on the bosses, if they were to cease beating the class warfare drum and so on. So Eccles says we ought to try to understand the bind they are in and help them if we can.

I realise that Eccles is a know-all, but because he is certain that economic laws will win the wages argument in the end he is going round like a cat that has been at the cream. He knows that Bruce’s time is quietly slipping by, but, after all, that is the common fate of dinosaurs.