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Bert KellyOne More Nail (Adelaide: Brolga Books, 1978), ch. 1, “Writing on the Wall,” pp. 1-5.

It is almost as though Australia has a death wish. Here we live, a mere family of 14,000,000 people in a neighbourhood of Asian countries housing not less than 2,250,000,000 people, more than half of the entire world’s population.

What have we done to the neighbourhood? We have built a wall around our Australian home so high that most of our Asian neighbours think we are a world apart. Indeed we are, because that wall — invisible as it is — is very real in economic terms as it represents the high tariff barriers we thrust into the faces of those 2,250,000,000 people we supposedly call our friends.

Just how long can Australia continue to use its tariff wall and quota system for many of its secondary industries to hide behind, feather bedded for life?

How long can we flaunt our pompous thoughts of superiority and continue to live happily alongside our neighbours. The time is rapidly running out; the writing is on the wall.

The tariff wall was originally erected to encourage the establishment of secondary industries in Australia, but is now a wall that limits the expansion of our economy by encouraging us to establish, or continue, industries for which we have no natural advantages, so that we use our limited resources in unwise ways. You can, with the expenditure of immense effort, grow bananas in the South Pole, but it is clearly a silly way to behave.

The ordinary citizen is usually interested when he is told that expansion of the economy is being limited by the TARIFF WALL. “You may well be right,” he will say, “but the economy doesn’t really mean much to me. It’s keeping one jump ahead of the finance companies that is my main concern.” If he says this, take him firmly by the ear and give him these figures on bed sheets, on which the tariff is 41%, compared to the same sheets if they were duty free.

One pair of sheets $10.00
Tariff Item 62.02.110 41% $4.10
Freight charges etc $1.00
= $15.10
Add Wholesalers Margin 25% $18.875
Add Retailers Margin 70% $32.075

One pair duty free sheets $10.00
Freight charges etc $1.00
= $11.00
Add Wholesalers Margin 25% $13.75
Add Retailers Margin 70% $23.375

So the $4.10 duty has increased to $8.71, but in actual fact, because sheets are subject to quota, they would be sold just below the Australian manufactured price of say $40.00 plus. In other words, you are paying nearly twice as much as you should if they were available on an open market.

Or you could give him the figures on motor cars, which are even worse and which are set out below:

DETAILS OF AVERAGE IMPORTED CAR
Invoice cost $2200.00 | $2200.00
Duty $ 990.00 | ___
Sales Tax $1053.00 | $ 726.00
Freight etc $1200.00 | $1200.00
Dealer $ 750.00 | $ 750.00
= $6193.00 | $4876.00
(Pre-1978 Budget Prices)

If there was no duty, the same car would be retailed at least $1317.00 less. By this time the ordinary citizen will admit the tariff wall is not just a picturesque way of describing a faraway fact of economic life, but it is also affecting him personally every time he goes to bed, or for a drive in his car. Besides limiting the expansion of the economy, it is also making it more costly for him to live. But then he must be told that there is a much more serious effect even than this, and that is, the effect of the wall on the prospects for peace. We know from bitter experience that trade wars are always likely to be fought over tariff walls and that these almost always lead to real wars. And we know that Australia is doing far more than we should be to make the position worse. It is true that our Prime Minister castigates the E.E.C. for erecting high barriers against our exports when he goes to Europe, but when he comes home he busily sets to work to keep out the good of our trading partners in Asia.

The world’s leaders are right when they point to the rising tide of protectionism that threatens to overwhelm us all, but still the barriers grow even higher. We are becoming obsessed with the same kind of bastard nationalism that, in the 1930′s, made the second world war inevitable. But even while that war was being fought, stern resolutions were made that the world would not go down that tragic road again. When the war ended, we were ready with the Marshall Plan and Bretton Woods Agreement, so that trade wars would not quickly start, to be followed by real wars. And up to now we have stuck to these principles in general terms though there have been many falls from grace. But now, with the first onset of a comparatively mild world recession, all the lessons of the past seem to have been forgotten and we seem to be slipping back to the 1930′s position and are wandering down the same tragic path.

There is a more serious threat hidden away in today’s protectionism than ever there was in the protectionism of the 1930′s.

Then the U.S.A. and Europe placed prohibitive tariff barriers against Japanese goods, and this was the beginning of World War II as far as Japan was concerned. Being a country that imports raw materials she has to export to survive, hence her invasion of China to secure a market for her goods which had been denied her by the rest of the World. Finally in 1941 the U.S.A. gave Japan an ultimatum to get out of China, froze her assets in U.S.A. and cut off her oil supplies. The result: Pearl Harbour! Germany too behaved as she did because she felt economically stifled. But now an even bigger threat looms. The gap between the living standards of the developed and underdeveloped countries continues to widen, and into the gap civilisation as we know it one day will tumble. It may be that affluence will destroy the rich countries, and it is worth remembering that no civilisation has yet been able to withstand for long being affluent. Or it may be that comparative poverty of the poor countries will so inflame them that they will fight like fiends to get what they regard as their fair share. No one knows how or when it will happen, but all the lessons of the past point to the fact that somehow, sometime, the developed and underdeveloped countries will move closer to equilibrium. This is much more likely to be done peaceably if we trade freely with them.

There are some who think that we can salve our consciences, and solve our neighbours’ problems, by giving them aid rather than trading with them. But the chapter on Nepal in this book tells of the difference between meaning well and doing well on the international aid front. I grant that we are better at it than we were in 1961 when the chapter was written, but helping wisely is still incredibly difficult. Trade is always more effective and more important than aid, both to the giver and the receiver. Yet it is against our Asian neighbours that our highest trade barriers are erected.

If we refuse to buy from our neighbours we clearly hurt them, but we also hurt ourselves. There is only one way of being paid for exports and that is by receiving imports in return. So every time we make it harder for imports to come in, we automatically make it harder for our exports to go out. Trade is Australia’s lifeblood, and if we restrict the blood flow we hurt ourselves as well as our neighbours.

The tariff wall, then, is not only an object of concern to economists but indeed it affects every citizen in the most intimate and serious way. Most of my time in Federal Parliament was spent trying to understand the damage that the wall was doing to us, then trying to get others to see the urgency of lowering the wall before it does us any more damage. I am not now in Parliament, but for me the battle still goes on. I have too many grandchildren to give up now.

(in order of appearance on Economics.org.au)
  1. Bert Kelly on Journalism
  2. Move for a body of Modest Members
  3. Modest Members Association
  4. Bert Kelly's Maiden Parliamentary Speech
  5. Government Intervention
  6. 1976 Monday Conference transcript featuring Bert Kelly
  7. Petrol for Farmers
  8. Some Sacred Cows
  9. Experiences in Parliament
  10. Spending your Money
  11. Who needs literary licence?
  12. A touch of Fred's anarchy
  13. Supply and Demand
  14. Bert Kelly on Disaster Relief
  15. Bert Kelly Wants to Secede
  16. Under Labor, is working hard foolish?
  17. An Idiot's Guide to Interventionism
  18. Bert Kelly Destroys the Side Benefits Argument for Government
  19. Bert Kelly gets his head around big-headed bird-brained politics
  20. First Modest Member (Bert Kelly) AFR Column
  21. Second Modest Member (Bert Kelly) AFR Column
  22. Third Modest Member (Bert Kelly) AFR Column
  23. Fourth Modest Member (Bert Kelly) AFR Column
  24. Fifth Modest Member (Bert Kelly) AFR Column
  25. Sixth Modest Member (Bert Kelly) AFR Column
  26. Bert Kelly on the 2011 Budget and Australia's Pathetic Journalists and Politicians
  27. Bert Kelly, Bastard or Simple Sod?
  28. Liberal Backbencher Hits Govt. Over Import Restrictions
  29. Bert Kelly feels a dam coming on at each election
  30. Bert Kelly Enters Parliament
  31. Why take in one another's washing?
  32. Bert Kelly breaks the law, disrespects government and enjoys it
  33. Gillard's galley-powered waterskiing
  34. Can price control really work?
  35. Should we put up with socialism?
  36. We're quick to get sick of socialism
  37. Time the protection racket ended
  38. Can't pull the wool over Farmer Fred
  39. People not Politics
  40. Bert Kelly admits he should have had less faith in politicians
  41. Labor: a girl who couldn't say no
  42. Why leading businessmen carry black briefcases
  43. Ludwig von Mises on page 3 of AFR
  44. Mavis wants the Modest Member to dedicate his book to her
  45. Time to Butcher "Aussie Beef"
  46. Bert Kelly reviews The War Diaries of Weary Dunlop
  47. Bert Kelly reviews We Were There
  48. Tariffs get the fork-tongue treatment
  49. Bert Kelly reduces government to its absurdities
  50. Politician sacrifices his ... honesty
  51. It's all a matter of principle
  52. Bert Kelly Destroys the Infant Industry Argument
  53. Bert Kelly Untangles Tariff Torment
  54. Bert Kelly resorts to prayer
  55. Eccles keeps our nose hard down on the tariff grindstone
  56. "Don't you believe in protecting us against imports from cheap labour countries?"
  57. Even if lucky, we needn't be stupid
  58. Great "freedom of choice" mystery
  59. Small government's growth problem
  60. Tariffs Introduced
  61. More About Tariffs
  62. Sacred cow kicker into print
  63. Modest Member must not give up
  64. Traditional Wheat Farming is Our Birthright and Heritage and Must be Protected!
  65. Bert Kelly brilliantly defends "theoretical academics"
  66. The Society of Modest Members
  67. John Hyde's illogical, soft, complicated, unfocussed and unsuccessful attempt to communicate why he defends markets
  68. Modesty ablaze
  69. Case for ministers staying home
  70. The unusual self-evident simplicity of the Modest Members Society
  71. Animal lib the new scourge of the bush
  72. The Association for the Prevention of Cruelty to Krill
  73. Repeal economic laws, force people to buy new cars and enforce tariffs against overseas tennis players
  74. Thoughts on how to kill dinosaurs
  75. Let's try the chill winds
  76. Taking the Right's road
  77. Bert Kelly: "I did not try often or hard enough"
  78. Bert Kelly "lacked ... guts and wisdom"
  79. A look at life without tariffs
  80. The Gospel according to Bert
  81. Tiny note on Bert Kelly's column in The Bulletin in 1985
  82. Why costs can't be guaranteed
  83. Hitting out with a halo
  84. Paying farmers not to grow crops will save on subsidies, revenge tariffs, etc
  85. "The Modest Farmer joins us" | "How The Modest Farmer came to be"
  86. Bert Kelly Destroys the Freeloading Justifies Government Argument
  87. Government Intervention
    vs
    Government Interference
  88. Bigger Cake = Bigger Slices
  89. Bert Kelly on the Political Process
  90. Charabanc: Part 1
  91. Charabanc: Part 2
  92. Charabanc: Part 3
  93. Relationships with the Liberal Party
  94. Tariffs = High Prices + World War
  95. Bert Kelly's Family History
  96. Bert Kelly's Pre-Parliament Life
  97. Why Bert Kelly was not even more publicly outspoken
  98. WEATHER IS USUALLY UNUSUAL
  99. How to stand aside when it's time to be counted
  100. How the Modest Member went back to being a Modest Farmer
  101. My pearls of wisdom were dull beyond belief
  102. Bert Kelly on Political Football
  103. Ross Gittins Wins Bert Kelly Award
  104. Interesting 1964 Bert Kelly speech: he says he is not a free trader and that he supports protection!
  105. This is the wall the Right built
  106. Has Santa socked it to car makers?
  107. Is the Budget a cargo cult?
  108. Will we end up subsidising one another?
  109. Do we want our money to fly?
  110. Can a bear be sure of a feed?
  111. How to impress your MP -
    ambush him
  112. The time for being nice to our MPs has gone ...
  113. Don't feel sorry for him -
    hang on to his ear
  114. Trade wars can easily end up on a battlefield
  115. Tariffs Create Unemployment
  116. Bert Kelly recommends Ayn Rand
  117. Bert Kelly's Satirical Prophecy: Minister for Meteorology (tick) and High Protectionist Policies to Result in War Yet Again (?)
  118. Bert Kelly in 1972 on Foreign Ownership of Australian Farmland and Warren Truss, Barnaby Joyce and Bill Heffernan in 2012
  119. Parliament a place for pragmatists
  120. Of Sugar Wells and Think-Tanks
  121. Bert Kelly: "I must take some of the blame"
  122. A Modest Farmer looks at the Problems of Structural Change
  123. Government Fails Spectacularly
  124. Know your proper place if you want the quiet life
  125. Bert Kelly on political speech writers
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